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Why is the Growth in Health Spending Considered a Problem?

Consumer discretionary spending is the major driver of the U.S. economy as household purchases make-up about 71 percent of U.S. gross domestic product (GDP).

Without growth in consumer spending, the economy would most likely go nowhere.

Since economic growth is generally considered a good thing, it stands to reason that we should be looking for things that contribute to consumer spending.

Taiwan’s Asset Deflation Linked to Demographics

Much has been written about the link between Japan’s aging society and the asset deflation that the country has experienced over the past 22 years. 

There is a disconcerting correlation between the progression of Japan’s aging society and the relentless bout of deflation that began after the Nikkei peaked in 1989.

A similar and equally distressing story exists in Taiwan. 

Pimco’s Gross Describes a New Age of Risk

Pacific Investment Management Company (Pimco) founder and co-chief investment officer Bill Gross offered a revised view of the global investing landscape in a letter published on the company’s website. 

As the manager of the Pimco Total Return Fund, Gross’s 2011 investment decisions were driven in part by the “new normal” thesis. 

The new normal view suggests that investors should seek emerging market debt because developed countries will experience a prolonged period of sluggish growth, high unemployment and inflation

A Clear Line in the Canadian Annuity Market

Canadian Finance Minister Jim Flaherty intends to propose legislation that bans banks from selling products that are similar to annuities.

Canadian law already prevents banks from selling annuity products.

Canadian finance officials are apparently concerned that the lines between annuity and banking products are increasingly blurred.

Bank products that are represented as lifetime cash flow vehicles presumably fall under this area of concern.

Sun Life yet another Casualty of Equity Market Volatility

Canadian insurer Sun Life recently announced that it will exit the variable annuity and individual life insurance markets in the United States.

Continued equity market volatility has resulted in a variable annuity business that is plagued with uncertainty and higher costs.

Insurers such as Sun Life offer guarantees that are linked to the performance of underlying equity portfolios.  These guarantees are a liability for the insurance company, and equity market volatility contributes to the cost of these liabilities.

New China Life Pursuing IPO Despite Challenging Market

New China Life is seeking to raise $2.3 billion in an initial public offering that would list the company on exchanges in Shanghai and Hong Kong.

New China Life is seeking the capital in market conditions that have been challenging for many of its peers.

China Life Insurance Company and Ping An Insurance have both seen their stock prices decline over 30 percent this year.  China Pacific Insurance Group has dropped more than 20 percent this year.

Compensation as a Share of National Income Falls to Historic Low

Recent data indicate that wages and salaries as a share of national income have fallen to the lowest level since 1948—a time when the government began to collect the data.

During the third quarter of 2011, wage and salary compensation represented 49.4 percent of national income.

Meanwhile, Bloomberg reports that the profit margins of U.S. companies are at the highest level in 40 years.

The profit margins of non-financial companies in the United States reached 15 percent during the third quarter of 2011.  This is the highest level since 1969.

The Real Cost of the Financial Crisis Bailout

In an extraordinary piece of investigative journalism, Bloomberg Markets Magazine describes the real financial bailout action that took place when banks tapped into the Federal Reserve’s Term Auction Facility for additional borrowing at below market rates.

Select highlights include:

Annuity Criticisms Often Boil-Down to Control of Assets

Annuity criticisms are a dime-a-dozen. 

The majority of financial advisors seem to have some issue with annuities, consumer perception is generally terrible and the financial media often appears to provide a reflection and reinforcement of prevailing sentiment.

There is a case to be made for “control of assets” as the common denominator for both the consumer and financial advisor perspectives.

Control of assets basically refers to the fact that annuities involve handing over money to an insurance company

Should You be Less Concerned about Liquidity?

Liquidity or lack thereof tends to be a major concern when it comes to annuities.

Many financial advisors and consumers are reluctant to use annuities because money allocated to annuity products tends to be tied-up and inaccessible for a period of time.  In other words, annuities lack liquidity or are “illiquid.”

In contrast, exchange traded funds (ETF) or shares of IBM stock are highly liquid as they can almost always be easily sold for cash.   

Potential Longevity Benefits Seen from Cellular Senescence Experiment

Wired magazine recently reported on longevity-related research that involves the successful application of technology to cellular senescence.

Cellular senescence is a term that describes the aging and overall breakdown of cells.

The problem with the aging cells is that they do not die and disappear from the body.  Scientists believe that the old, broken-down cells stick around and contribute to the degeneration of healthy cells in a body and ultimately to age-related diseases such as cancer.

Trees Grow

“Trees grow” is an adage that has stuck with me over the past several years.

In a post financial crisis interview, a successful investment manager was talking about his decision to load-up on Citigroup and a handful of other banks in early 2009 when the decision to do so was difficult to say the least.

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